The United States 2024 Republican Primary is a matter of intense national debate. Campaign Insights has been collecting data Nationally as well as New Hampshire and Iowa. We want to track how Republican Presidential candidates are polling in early voting states, as compared to the nation as a whole.
Utilizing Campaign Insights’ sophisticated digital polling technology, we asked registered voters who they would vote for in the 2024 Republican Presidential Primary out of six candidates. We included the top 4 Republican candidates and two additional candidates that have been gaining traction.
When we look at the results for respondents who are registered and likely to vote. Of the 2038 respondents; 44.5 % of those polled said they would vote for Donald Trump. 22.7% for Ron DeSantis, 14.4% for Tim Scott, 9.3% for Vivek Ramaswamy, 7.5% for Nikki Haley and 1.7% for Ryan Binkley.
Comparing Iowa voters (681) and New Hampshire voters (419) we still show Donald Trump leading significantly, but Tim Scott is gaining more traction in these two key states compared to national numbers. In New Hampshire, he has actually surpassed DeSantis by 5 percentage points.
Based on our national results, Donald Trump still holds a significant lead over the rest of the party by over 20 percentage points. Ron DeSantis still maintains second place nationally but that lead is wavering as we see Tim Scott leading in New Hampshire and neck and neck in Iowa. Vivek Ramaswamy has gained popularity and is now leading Nikki Haley nationally and in New Hampshire. Haley is still showing as leading Vivek in Iowa. Ryan Binkley closes up the poll with 1.7% which could provide him enough national awareness to make it to the debate stage.
Campaign Insights’ Realtime Polling surveys differ from traditional online surveys in that the questions are shown to the user on web pages in place of an ad. Unlike Google Surveys, which block access to content until the questions are answered, Realtime Polling surveys are optional, thus ensuring that participants are responding voluntarily.